On Thursday, November 6, 2025, Crystal Palace will host AZ Alkmaar at Selhurst Park in London, with a 20:00 UK kick-off in the third matchday of the UEFA Conference League Group StageLondon. The Eagles, fresh off a 2-0 Premier League win over Brentford on November 2, are riding a wave of momentum after a four-game winless streak. But the real story? They’ve lost their last two Conference League games at home — including a shocking 1-0 defeat to AEK Larnaca despite dominating possession and expected goals. Now, they face a Dutch side that hasn’t lost in five matches since that same 4-0 thrashing in Cyprus.
Form Reversal: Palace’s Comeback vs AZ’s Streak
Crystal Palace’s resurgence is real, but fragile. After being winless in October — including losses to Liverpool, Manchester United, and Arsenal — they’ve won their last two: a 3-0 EFL Cup upset at Anfield and the 2-0 home win over Brentford. Goals from Jean-Philippe Mateta and an own goal by Nathan Collins sealed the latter, and Mateta now has six Premier League goals in ten games. But here’s the twist: they’ve conceded just five goals at home in five matches this season, yet still lost to AEK Larnaca. That’s not bad defense. That’s bad luck.
AZ Alkmaar, meanwhile, are the definition of momentum. Since their 4-0 Conference League loss to AEK Larnaca on October 24, they’ve won five straight: four in the Eredivisie and one in the Conference League against Slovan Bratislava. Their 1-0 win over Sparta Rotterdam on November 2 was textbook AZ: 58% possession, 14 shots on goal, and a clinical 69th-minute finish from Kees Smit. They’re averaging 2.4 goals per game in that run. But here’s the catch — they’ve lost all three previous away matches against English teams in European competition. Selhurst Park doesn’t just feel like a fortress; it feels like a trap for Dutch visitors.
Injuries, Suspensions, and Tactical Shifts
For Crystal Palace, the absence of Eddie Nketiah and Adam Wharton is a blow. Nketiah’s aerial threat and hold-up play were key in their recent wins. His replacement? Likely Justin Devenny, who’s yet to start a Premier League game this season. Will Hughes, meanwhile, is pushing for a central midfield role after a strong bench performance against Brentford. Manager Oliver Glasner has said he’s "looking for more control," but with only two shots on target against Brentford, control doesn’t always mean possession.
AZ’s return of defender Penetra from suspension is a boost, but their biggest lift is the return of striker Troy Parrott. The Irishman, who missed their last two games due to a minor hamstring issue, featured as a sub against Slovan Bratislava and looked sharp. He’s scored in three of his last five starts and could be the key to unlocking Palace’s compact backline. If he’s on the pitch, AZ’s attack becomes far more dangerous — especially on counters.
Betting Landscape: Who’s Really Favored?
Every major betting preview — from Sportsgambler to Sportskeeda — agrees: Crystal Palace are favorites. But the margins are razor-thin. Sportskeeda explicitly predicts a 2-1 win for Palace, while Football Predictions goes 2-0. MightyTips is bolder: 3-1. And yet, Sportsgambler recommends AZ +1.25 on the Asian Handicap — a smart play. Why? Because if Palace win 2-1, you win. If they win 2-0, you push. If AZ pulls off a shock 1-1 draw? You win outright.
The consensus betting tips are clear: Palace to win (Tip 1), Over 2.5 goals (Tip 2), Both Teams to Score — Yes (Tip 3), and At least one goal in the second half — Yes (Tip 4). That last one is telling. Neither team scores early. Palace tend to break through after the 60th minute. AZ’s winning streak has seen 70% of their goals come after the hour. This isn’t a game for early goals. It’s a game for late drama.
Why This Match Matters Beyond the Table
Crystal Palace sit ninth in the Premier League with 16 points from ten games. They’re just three points behind Manchester City — but more importantly, they’re in the top half of the Conference League group. A win here keeps them in pole position to qualify for the knockout stage. Lose, and they’re fighting for survival with two games left against tougher opponents.
AZ Alkmaar? They’re chasing a top-two finish to avoid the playoff round. A win in London would be their first ever in England in European competition. That’s not just a three points — it’s a statement. And with their confidence soaring, they’re not here to play safe. They’ve scored in every game since their loss to AEK Larnaca. They’ll come out to win.
What’s Next?
If Crystal Palace win, they’ll be within touching distance of the top two in their Conference League group. A draw or loss? Then they’ll need to beat Slovan Bratislava at home in the final matchday — and hope other results go their way. For AZ, a win would put them level on points with the group leaders. A loss? They’ll need a miracle against AEK Larnaca in Cyprus.
One thing’s certain: this isn’t just about points. It’s about identity. Palace are trying to prove they’re more than a mid-table Premier League side. AZ are trying to prove they belong on the same stage as Europe’s elite. The tension is thick. The stakes? Higher than the odds suggest.
Frequently Asked Questions
How important is home advantage for Crystal Palace in this match?
Home advantage has been crucial: Crystal Palace have scored eight goals in five home matches this season, averaging 1.6 goals per game. But they lost their last home Conference League match 1-0 to AEK Larnaca despite dominating possession and xG. This suggests their home form is strong but inconsistent under European pressure — making this match a true test of their mental toughness.
Why is AZ Alkmaar’s away record against English teams relevant?
AZ has lost all three previous away games against English sides in European competition, including a 3-1 defeat to Tottenham in 2022 and a 2-0 loss to West Ham in 2023. That psychological barrier matters — even if their current form is excellent. Selhurst Park’s atmosphere, combined with past failures, could weigh on their decision-making.
Who are the key players to watch in this match?
For Crystal Palace, Jean-Philippe Mateta is the focal point — six goals in ten Premier League games and the only consistent goal threat. For AZ, Troy Parrott’s return gives them a clinical finisher, while Kees Smit has been their most reliable scorer since October. On the defensive side, Palace’s Nathan Collins is vital, and AZ’s Penetra’s return adds much-needed stability.
What’s the most likely outcome based on betting trends?
The most common prediction is Crystal Palace 2-1 AZ Alkmaar, cited by Sportskeeda, Free Super Tips, and others. Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score are the top betting tips — suggesting a tight, high-intensity game. The Asian Handicap AZ +1.25 is considered a smart value play, offering protection if Palace win by just one goal.
Will the match be broadcast live?
Yes, according to Gooners Guide’s November 6 preview, the match will be broadcast live in the UK. While the exact channel isn’t confirmed, it will likely air on TNT Sports or Paramount+, which hold UEFA Conference League rights in the UK for the 2025/26 season. International viewers should check local UEFA partners.
What led to Crystal Palace’s recent slump before their two wins?
Crystal Palace went winless in four games during October 2025, suffering defeats to Liverpool, Manchester United, and Arsenal, plus a 1-1 draw with Brighton. Their midfield lacked cohesion, and injuries to key players like Adam Wharton and Nketiah disrupted their rhythm. Oliver Glasner’s tactical shift to a more compact 4-2-3-1 against Brentford restored balance — and unlocked Mateta’s form.